Who will win the elections? Who will form the next Government in the state? How many seats will Congress/TDP/PRP win?
As soon as the clock struck 5PM on Wednesday, all media channels were out giving their exit polls on the General elections conducted in India in a long stretch of 5 weeks. The State of Andhra Pradesh had gone to polls for its assembly elections along with the Lok Sabha elections. And according to political pundits, it’s the assembly election that is to be watched for – at least in Andhra Pradesh.
What’s interesting here is that when almost everyone is agreeing that there will be a 3 cornered battle in the state (or at least 2 cornered battle between TDP and Congress), one channel, said to be associated with ruling party in the state went ahead to project their exit polls completely in favour of the Congress party. According to them Congress is well on its way to bag around 180 assembly seats. And about 68 to the Grand alliance and the rest shared between other parties including PRP. While many senior Congress leaders themselves said that they would get somewhere near 110-120 seats, this projection came in as a surprise to one and all. The projections of other sources are in common line with majority of the people according to which the Grand alliance will get 125-130, Congress 90-100, PRP 38 and rest to other smaller parties.
While the first projection may seem strange, what might add to its authenticity is KCR moving towards the NDA even before the exit polls are out. One has to think in this way that KCR had inside information that the Grand alliance did not do well in the polls and so slowly started moving towards the BJP led NDA to achieve his one point agenda and that is to get a separate Telangana state.
Though the exit polls from different sources are different and that too in a big way, there are 3 ways in which the State may head to after May 16th in the order of most possibility to least possibility:
The Grand alliance gets a simple majority or falls 5-10 short of the majority, it may seek the help of Independents or ‘do its work’ to form the Government.
Neither the Grand alliance nor the Congress get to the magic figure and fall short of it by at least 30-40 seats. In this case, the most likely happening is the Congress seeking the help of PRP to which PRP may not have a problem, provided congress agree to their conditions.
It’s more likely that PRP will support Congress rather than TDP as it is said that Kapu’s were Congress’s voters before PRP emerged and also there is a deep drift between Kapu and Kamma than between Kapu and Reddy communities.
It’s so sad that castes are playing such big role in forming the Government
The Congress gets a simple majority and forms the Government.
So all in all, the exit polls seems to have added more confusion and it only remains to be seen who emerges as the king on May 16.
This report is not associated in any way to the exit polls conducted by Times Now, Headlines today, IBN, Star news or any other network that has done their survey but simply an assessment of the current situation in the state by the Author.